Progress in Neurobiology

The course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is highly heterogeneous, yet the biological mechanisms underlying this variability remain incompletely understood. Although metabolic alterations have increasingly been associated with disease progression, existing observational evidence is limited by confounding, reverse causation, and an inability to establish causal mechanisms. To bridge this gap, we used a metabolome-wide Mendelian Randomization (MR) framework, including thorough sensitivity analyses, to identify metabolites genetically linked to MS severity that can causally affect it. Bidirectional MR analyses revealed a subset of amino acid and lipid pathways with strong, consistent effects across different MR approaches, confirmed by tests for heterogeneity, horizontal pleiotropy, and LD confounding. For metabolites prioritized by metabolome-wide MR with evidence of causal effects, we conducted genetic colocalization at loci encompassing proximal enzyme-encoding genes, leveraging the corresponding instrumental variants to assess shared underlying genetic signals. This process revealed shared genetic signals between metabolite levels and MS severity, mapped to the FADS1/2 and CYP4F2 loci. A subsequent pathway-resolved set of cis-MR analyses across FADS1/2-derived polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) metabolites, using a functional variant that proxies reduced {triangleup}5-desaturase activity, showed consistent effects indicating that FADS1 perturbation is associated with MS severity. Collectively, these results highlight FADS1 as a key driver of PUFA-related causal effects on MS severity in both systemic (circulating metabolites) and brain cell-specific contexts. Additional supportive cis-MR evidence implicates the disruption of CYP4F2 as another PUFA-metabolizing enzyme.

There is substantial interest in understanding neurological impact and recovery over time, but there is a dearth of longitudinal assessment extending from minutes to months surrounding neural system impact. We compared rare intraoperative recordings in three patients, obtained immediately before and after anterior temporal lobe (ATL) resection during a semantic prediction task, with longitudinal source-localized electroencephalography (EEG) obtained 2-6 weeks before and 2 and 6-14 months after surgery. Relative to controls (n = 20), task performance showed sustained impairment in the two left-hemisphere patients and delayed impact in the right-hemisphere patient. Consistent with theory on ipsilateral and contralateral hemisphere compensation, all three patients exhibited bilateral EEG alterations in speech responses and effective connectivity that did not recover to pre-operative levels. Direct comparison of the datasets for intrinsic neurophysiological biomarkers associated with timescales of processing ({tau}INT) and excitatory-inhibitory balance (aperiodic slope, {chi}SPEC) showed a striking months-long reduction in rapid timescale processing and gradually increasing aperiodic slope (e.g., putatively increased cortical inhibition) in the ipsilateral hemisphere of all three patients. Amidst these neurophysiological alterations, task performance did not return to pre-operative levels. These rare longitudinal patient data advance a framework to broadly evaluate neurological impact over multiple timeframes.

Generalizable neuroimaging biomarkers that detect cerebral cortical changes after traumatic brain injury (TBI) and predict patient outcomes are needed to improve care and to develop targeted therapies. We used morphometric inverse divergence (MIND) analysis of structural MRI to investigate cortical gray matter morphological networks cross-sectionally and longitudinally after TBI and correlate these with symptoms, disability and cognition six months after injury. Our findings support the Triple Network Model from functional MRI of post-traumatic alterations in the relationship between task-positive, default mode and salience networks. However, the strongest associations between early cortical similarity metrics and long-term patient outcomes involved the dorsal attention network and the limbic network as well as similarity metrics across Mesulam's hierarchy of laminar differentiation. Since MIND mapping of cortical gray matter networks only requires data that is a routine part of standard clinical MRI protocols and does not need image harmonization across different scanners, this work reports a promising new tool that is immediately available for advancing research and clinical care in TBI.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is characterized by complex alterations in synaptic, glial, neuronal and inflammatory markers. Given its emerging role at the interface of synaptic dysfunction and inflammation, the astrocytic marker GFAP may represent a cross-domain hub linking synaptic, neuronal and inflammatory alterations. Using multivariate and network-based analyses we examined the relationships among cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers of astrocytic activation and synaptic failure, inflammation, and neurodegeneration in biologically confirmed AD patients and healthy controls (HC). We studied 60 AD patients and 40 HC. CSF concentrations of Neurogranin, SNAP-25, CAP2, NfL, GFAP, IL-1 , IL-1{beta}, IL-8, MCP-1, TNF were measured. Associations were assessed using Spearman correlations, LASSO regression, and network analysis to characterize multivariate dependency structures. Compared with controls, AD patients showed significantly higher CSF levels of Neurogranin, SNAP-25, CAP2, NfL, GFAP, IL-1{beta}, TNF- .. In AD, synaptic biomarkers were strongly intercorrelated and associated with astroglial activation, inflammatory markers, and tau-related pathology. Network analysis identified GFAP as a cross-domain hub linking synaptic, inflammatory, and neurodegenerative domains in AD. In controls, GFAP was mainly associated with neuronal injury markers. Network-based modelling revealed a disease-related reorganization of biomarker connectivity in AD, with GFAP occupying a central cross-domain position, supporting a systems-level view of AD pathophysiology.

Objective Astrocyte activation is increasingly recognized as an important component of multiple sclerosis (MS) pathology. Natalizumab (NTZ), a highly effective therapy for relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), primarily blocks leukocyte trafficking into the central nervous system. However, its effects on astrocytic metabolism remain unclear. We investigated astrocyte-associated metabolic changes after NTZ treatment using quantitative 1-11C-acetate positron emission tomography (PET). Methods Seven patients with RRMS underwent quantitative 1-11C-acetate PET before and after NTZ treatment. PET-derived k2, an index of oxidative acetate metabolism, was analyzed voxel-wise and within GM and white-matter volumes of interest. Clinical status and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings were assessed, and cognitive performance was evaluated using Rao's Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological Tests. Results After NTZ treatment, k2 decreased in all patients compared with pretreatment levels. Both gray and white matter showed significant reductions, and voxel-based analysis demonstrated widespread decreases across cortical and subcortical regions of the cerebrum and cerebellum, with no regions showing significant posttreatment increases. MRI showed no worsening; Expanded Disability Status Scale scores were stable or improved, and cognitive performance was generally stable, with improvements in selected subtests. Interpretation Quantitative 1-11C-acetate PET demonstrated a whole-brain reduction in astrocyte-associated metabolism after NTZ treatment in RRMS, most prominently in gray matter. NTZ may modulate astrocyte activity, in addition to its established effects on peripheral immune cell trafficking.

In some countries, melatonin is sold without a physician prescription and dosage is unregulated. Transdermal products have become popular including those marketed for children. We measured consumer assumptions about these products among adult residents of the United States, analyzed lot-to-lot variability, and compared the pharmacokinetics of melatonin administered in oral, lotion, and bath product forms. Survey respondents (n=199) believed oral melatonin was more effective than transdermal products and that all melatonin products were relatively safe. Melatonin lotion products analyzed by HPLC displayed lot-to-lot variability as well as changes in formulation and product claims. To determine pharmacokinetics, three different treatments (oral tablets, lotion, and bath immersion) were administered to twelve undergraduate participants in a randomized, crossover design. Five additional participants completed bath product treatment only. Participants collected saliva samples up to 48 hours after administration, which were analyzed for melatonin by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Oral (n=11) and lotion formulations (n=12) caused maximum salivary melatonin levels within 30 minutes after administration, but bath immersion did not cause increases in saliva melatonin (n=17). The half-life of oral melatonin was 1.17 [0.69 -- 1.65] hours versus 5.72 [3.75 -- 7.68] hours for lotion treatment (p = 0.011, effect size r = 0.770). Melatonin lotion may pose a risk to consumers who assume it is safe and less effective than oral tablets, when in fact it may be very potent and remain at high physiological levels into the following day. This study is registered on clinicaltrials.gov (NCT06382610) and was funded by the Sleep Research Society.

Background: Comorbidities are common in multiple sclerosis (MS) and may influence disability outcomes, but their dynamic impact on bidirectional disability transitions and long-term disability remains incompletely understood. Better understanding of this longitudinal relationship could inform personalized disability management strategies for people with MS. Methods: We leveraged two large electronic health record (EHR)-linked MS registries and applied multi-state Markov models (MSMs) to examine the extent to which individual comorbidities and overall comorbidity burden were associated with short-term disability transitions, long-term disability transition probabilities, and expected time spent in each disability state. We additionally compared MSM-based predictions of confirmed disability worsening (CDW) with Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) model-based predictions using the integrated Brier score with bootstrap validation. Results: Among 3,723 patients with MS (74.6% female; 86.2% non-Hispanic White; mean age=41.9 years; mean disease duration=5.4 years) contributing 41,860 disability assessments over a mean follow-up of 7.3 years, higher cardiometabolic and psychiatric comorbidity burden was associated with increased transition intensity toward worse disability states and decreased transition intensity toward improvement, with a stepwise gradient across burden levels. Compared with patients without comorbidities, those with [≥]4 comorbidities had a 28% higher risk of worsening (HR=1.28 [1.06, 1.55]) and a 20% lower risk of improvement (HR=0.80 [0.67, 0.95]). Each individual comorbidity was significantly associated with worse disability transitions. Long-term estimates indicated a higher 5-year probability of severe disability and fewer years spent in the no-disability state among patients with greater comorbidity burden. CoxPH models showed directionally consistent associations but lower predictive accuracy for CDW compared with MSMs. Conclusion: Cardiometabolic and psychiatric comorbidities are associated with worse disability trajectories in MS, reducing improvement and accelerating progression. By providing a nuanced framework to quantify short-term disability transitions and long-term disability patterns, MSMs may have real-world clinical utility in disability prediction.

Joint modelling of longitudinal data using non-linear mixed effects models and time-to-event outcomes provides a suitable framework to account for informative censoring when estimating biomarker dynamics and quantifying event risk using covariates and longitudinal trajectories. Their usefulness in clinical research depends on data collection design, particularly to precisely estimate the association (link) parameter between longitudinal and survival processes. However, optimal design strategies have so far been addressed separately for longitudinal and survival endpoints and remain unexplored for joint models. We propose two Fisher Information Matrix (FIM) computation methods for joint models, relying on Monte-Carlo integration over observations combined with either Markov Chains Monte-Carlo or Adaptive Gaussian Quadrature to integrate random effects. Their accuracy is assessed against clinical trial simulations in an oncological example based on the HORIZON III study with a tumour-growth-survival model including discrete and continuous covariates. We apply these methods to quantify the impact of follow-up duration, sampling richness, sample size, and covariate distribution on parameter uncertainty and test power. In our example, longitudinal-parameter uncertainty is barely affected by follow-up duration or sampling richness, whereas survival-parameter uncertainty decreases substantially from 1-year to 2-year follow-up. The number of subjects needed (NSN) to achieve <15\% uncertainty on the link parameter is comparable for a 2-year rich design and a 3-year sparse design. Optimal covariate distributions are stable across designs and systematically improve test power, outperforming longer and richer but non-optimised designs. These FIM-based methods accurately predict uncertainty and test powers, enabling design evaluation and NSN computation for joint-model-based clinical studies.

Wolfram syndrome (WFS) is characterized by youth-onset insulin-dependent diabetes and neurological deficits. Brain white matter deficiency has been reported, but its trajectory remains unclear. Applying diffusion basis spectrum imaging models longitudinally in 29 individuals with WFS (baseline ages, 5.2 to 25.8 years; maximum 7 visits) and 52 matched controls, we found that WFS is associated with microstructural alterations suggesting diminished axonal integrity, myelin content, and cellularity. These changes were present and stable early in the disease progression in visual and auditory-related regions, whereas abnormalities in the corpus callosum appeared later in adolescence and adulthood. Our results support developmental hypomyelination as a neurophenotype of WFS.

BACKGROUND: Dementia with Lewy bodies shares clinical and pathological features with both Parkinson's disease and Alzheimer's disease, but the local biological factors that render specific cortical regions vulnerable to atrophy remain poorly defined. In particular, it is unclear whether cortical thinning in dementia with Lewy bodies reflects generic neurodegenerative mechanisms, processes shared with Parkinson's disease and Alzheimer's disease, or dementia with Lewy bodies-specific molecular and network susceptibilities. METHODS: A total of 89 patients with dementia with Lewy bodies and 89 matched controls underwent T1-weighted brain MRI. Scans were processed to generate surface-based cortical thickness maps. Regional cortical thickness estimates, after slice-by-slice manual correction, were mapped to gene expression data from healthy postmortem human brains to identify transcriptomic signatures associated with decreased thickness in dementia with Lewy bodies. We assessed whether genes whose expression was increased with regional thinning converged onto established Parkinson's disease- and Alzheimer's disease-related pathways and isolated genes uniquely implicated in dementia with Lewy bodies. Spatial annotation mapping was then used to test whether patterns of cortical thinning overlapped with in vivo neurotransmitter system distributions and whether the observed thickness pattern was constrained by large-scale structural connectivity, consistent with a network-based propagation process. RESULTS: Cortical thinning predominated in regions that, in the healthy brain, show higher expression of genes involved in mitochondrial function and synaptic transmission. The transcriptomic profile associated with thinning significantly overlapped with genes belonging to Parkinson's disease and Alzheimer's disease pathways, supporting shared pathogenic mechanisms across Lewy body and Alzheimer-type neurodegeneration. However, 90 genes associated with cortical thinning did not overlap with Parkinson's disease or Alzheimer's disease pathways and were enriched for GABAergic signalling. Spatial mapping analyses showed that regions with greatest thickness reductions colocalized with GABAA, serotoninergic 5-HT1A, 5-HT1B, 5-HT4, and dopaminergic D2 receptor distributions, and that the thickness pattern followed structural connectivity. CONCLUSIONS: MRI-derived cortical thickness changes in dementia with Lewy bodies reflect selective molecular and network vulnerabilities rather than a non-specific degenerative process. Mitochondrial and synaptic genes, together with a distinct GABAergic association and connectivity constraints, delineate mechanisms explaining why some cortical territories are more affected in dementia with Lewy bodies.

Although the associations between cerebrovascular dysfunctions and Alzheimer's disease are increasingly appreciated, the relationship of cerebral blood flow and white matter hyperintensities with tau and amyloid-{beta} pathology remains unclear, particularly in the longitudinal context. This study investigated cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of cerebral blood flow and white matter hyperintensities with tau and amyloid-{beta} pathology using multimodal imaging and blood biomarkers in 179 participants from the ADNI3 cohort. Participants underwent structural (T1-weighted, T2-weighted FLAIR) and arterial spin labelling perfusion MRI, tau and amyloid-{beta} PET, and plasma assay tests for amyloid-{beta} 42, amyloid-{beta} 40, and phosphorylated tau-217. Tau from PET was negatively associated with cerebral blood flow both cross-sectionally and longitudinally in the posterior brain, independent of amyloid-{beta} quantified from PET. Higher white matter hyperintensities volumes were associated with higher levels of tau and amyloid-{beta} at baseline, but the associations were significantly attenuated after further adjusting for amyloid-{beta} and tau, respectively. Plasma amyloid-{beta} 42/40 ratio was negatively associated with white matter hyperintensity volumes both cross-sectionally and longitudinally. In conclusion, tau pathology showed spatially specific associations with cerebral hypoperfusion, independent of amyloid-{beta}, particularly in posterior regions. The attenuation of associations of white matter hyperintensities with amyloid-{beta} and tau after adjustment may reflect shared disease-related variance rather than distinct independent effects. Keywords: Alzheimer's disease, Cerebral blood flow, White matter hyperintensities, Tau pathology, Amyloid-{beta}.

Background. Poor sleep quality is common in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) and reduces quality of life. Objectives. To examine associations between modifiable factors and sleep quality in pwMS. Methods. In a prospective clinic cohort (2017-2023), we evaluated whether baseline measures of disability, depression, fatigue, and pain were associated with poor sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index, PSQI) cross-sectionally using covariate-adjusted linear regression, structural equation modeling (SEM), and LASSO logistic regression, and longitudinally using mixed-effects models. Results. In this cohort (n=750; mean age 48.9 years; 80.3% women, 88.7% relapsing type), higher body mass index ({beta} [95% CI]: 0.06 [0.01, 0.12], p=.001) and area deprivation index (6.78 [2.17, 11.39], p<.001) were associated with worse baseline PSQI scores. In adjusted analyses (n=730), disability, depression, fatigue, and pain were each associated with worse sleep. In SEM, pain had a moderate direct effect on sleep ({beta} [95% CI]: 0.56 [0.48, 0.64], p<.001). LASSO models that included pain outperformed the benchmark (AUROC 0.741 vs 0.517). Longitudinally (n=382), time and higher baseline pain predicted worse sleep ({beta} [95% CI]: time in months 0.04 [0.02, 0.06], p<.001; pain 0.36 [0.31, 0.41], p<.001). Conclusion. Pain is a key, potentially modifiable driver of poor sleep quality in pwMS.

Neuroimaging based pain decoding faces two underappreciated challenges: between subject variability that prevents classifiers from generalizing across patients, and within session cross validation designs that inflate reported accuracy by conflating within person and between person variance. Here we address both using portable functional near infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) during pharmacologically verified local nerve anesthesia. Twentyfive patients with clinically painful teeth underwent 36 channel bilateral fNIRS during percussion before ("Pre") and after ("Post") local nerve anesthesia. In 13 block-success patients, a paired Pre versus Post comparison with healthy tooth control identified three temporal hemodynamic response function (HRF) features (late slope, mean first derivative, and baseline normalized amplitude) whose analgesia interaction effects (d = 0.63 to 0.79) exceeded that of raw general linear model (GLM) amplitude (d = 0.56), with a significant difference-in-differences interaction (p = 0.011). Per-patient calibration with these features yielded leave one subject out (LOSO) AUC = 0.68 to 0.76 for nonlinear classifiers (permutation p = 0.002), with HbO-specific feature selection achieving the best performance (RF AUC = 0.760); a healthy tooth negative control was non-significant. End to end deep learning on raw time series (CNN LSTM AUC = 0.719) was competitive with feature based classifiers, while linear models did not reach significance. Critically, head to head comparison of within-session CV and LOSO on the same data revealed mean inflation of +0.13 AUC across all model types, including deep learning, demonstrating that high within session accuracy alone does not establish subject-independent validity. Exploratory analyses suggested complementary roles for oxyhemoglobin (HbO; within patient analgesia detection) and deoxyhemoglobin (HbR; cross patient information), and that trial to trial response variability may complement amplitude for cross patient pain detection. These results show that per patient calibration with temporal HRF features supports subject independent analgesic-state detection under strict LOSO evaluation, and that within-session validation (standard in the fNIRS pain- decoding literature) can substantially overestimate performance.

ABSTRACT Background: Self medication with analgesics and non steroidal anti inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) is common in low- and middle income countries and may expose users to preventable adverse outcomes. Evidence from Guinea remains scarce. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of self medication with analgesics and NSAIDs among pharmacy clients in urban Conakry, identify associated factors, and describe clinical risk situations. Methods: We conducted a pharmacy based analytical cross sectional study in 30 private pharmacies across Conakry, Guinea. A total of 1,032 participants seeking analgesics or NSAIDs were enrolled between November 3, 2012, and April 5, 2013. Self-medication was defined as acquisition or use without a valid medical prescription. Factors associated with self-medication were analysed using multivariable logistic regression. Results: Among 1,032 participants, 603 reported self medication (prevalence 58.4%). Previous unsupervised use was reported by 78.7%. The most frequently used medicines were paracetamol (56.9%, n=587), diclofenac (21.3%, n=220), ibuprofen (17.9%, n=185), and aspirin (3.9%, n=40). Overall, 68.0% (n=702) reported no knowledge of potential adverse effects. Clinical risk situations were frequent: gastrointestinal disorders (41.3%, n=426), hypertension (9.2%, n=95), and pregnancy exposure among reproductive age women (26.0%). In multivariable analysis, self medication was independently associated with previous analgesic/NSAID use (aOR = 2.8, 95% CI: 2.1 to 3.6), lack of knowledge of adverse effects (aOR = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4 to 2.5), informal occupation (aOR = 1.6, 95% CI: 1.2 to 2.2), and age 18 to 59 years (aOR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.1). Conclusions: In this pharmacy based study conducted in urban Conakry, self medication with analgesics and NSAIDs was common and frequently associated with limited awareness of potential adverse effects. These findings support the need for strengthened pharmaceutical regulation, pharmacist-led counselling, health literacy interventions, and improved access to primary care. Keywords: self medication; analgesics; NSAIDs; paracetamol; diclofenac; ibuprofen; pharmacy; Guinea; Conakry; drug safety; public health.

The proliferation of gambling advertising has intensified concerns regarding its influence on vulnerable populations, yet the neural mechanisms underlying cue-reactivity to these stimuli remain underexplored in ecologically valid settings. This study protocol proposes a novel methodological framework to investigate prefrontal cortical responses to gambling advertisements in individuals with varying degrees of gambling experience. Materials and methods: This cross-sectional study will recruit 44 participants, divided into a clinical group (individuals with high-frequency gambling or gambling disorder) and a matched control group. Neural activity will be recorded using fNIRS while participants view gambling-related, neutral, violent, and sexual stimuli. Secondary measures include validated scales for gambling severity (SOGS), impulsivity, sensation seeking, and alexithymia. Data analysis will primarily utilize inter-subject correlation (ISC) to quantify neural synchronization and multiband frequency decomposition to capture dynamic affective processing. Advanced preprocessing, including short-channel regression, will be applied to ensure signal robustness. Discussion: By combining portable neuroimaging with a data-driven ISC approach, this study aims to identify objective neural markers of gambling vulnerability. The findings will provide novel insights into the idiosyncratic processing of commercial stimuli, potentially informing public health policies and the development of more effective evidence-based regulations for gambling marketing.

INTRODUCTION: Cognitive trajectories may clarify how type 2 diabetes (T2D) and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) relate to dementia risk, but longitudinal associations remain unclear, particularly in the context of stroke. METHODS: Data from 5,631 dementia- and stroke-free older adults (mean age 75 years) from 7 international population-based cohorts were analyzed. Linear mixed-effects models estimated cognitive trajectories during stroke-free and post-stroke follow-up. Glucose status was defined by fasting glucose and prior T2D diagnosis. RESULTS: Over 6.6 years of follow-up (4.5% with incident stroke), T2D was associated with lower baseline cognitive performance compared with normal fasting glucose (-0.14 SD, 95% CI -0.21 to -0.07), but not with faster cognitive decline during stroke-free or post-stroke follow-up. IFG was not associated with lower cognitive performance or faster decline. DISCUSSION: In older adults, T2D was associated with persistently lower cognitive performance but not faster decline, suggesting adverse cognitive effects may be established before late life.

We investigated whether people with Parkinson's disease who are dual GBA1+LRRK2 carriers have a milder, LRRK2-like phenotype as previously reported. This was accomplished by comparing clinical features and alpha-synuclein seed amplification assay (SAA) positivity rates between dual GBA1+LRRK2-PD(n=13), GBA1-PD(n=169) and LRRK2-PD(n=175) carriers in a cross-sectional retrospective study of Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) data. Our results show that GBA1+LRRK2-PD rate(83%) is closer to GBA1-PD rate(87%) rather than LRRK2-PD rate (62%mp-value>0.05). GBA1+LRRK2-PD have both non-motor and motor phenotypic similarity of GBA1-PD(p-value>0.05). This small PPMI cohort indicates that dual GBA1+LRRK2-PD carriers' SAA positivity and phenotype are aligned with GBA1-PD.

Of the two influenza A virus (IAV) subtypes circulating endemically in humans, A/H3N2 and A/H1N1pdm09, A/H3N2 has historically been the dominant driver of disease burden in older adults. Based on an analysis of publicly available global surveillance data from 2015 to 2025 (>300,000 subtyped, age-stratified infections), we report a substantially increased contribution of A/H1N1pdm09 to influenza morbidity in older adults since approximately 2022. Birth cohort-stratified analyses suggest elevated A/H1N1pdm09 burden among individuals born before 1955-1959, consistent with erosion of pre-existing immunity originally generated by exposure to historical A/H1N1 strains. Pooled estimates across datasets and analytical approaches indicate the increase in A/H1N1pdm09 burden rises with earlier birth year, ranging from 1.22-fold (95% CI 1.08-1.37) for the 1955-1959 birth cohort to 3.10-fold (95% CI 2.58-3.72) for the 1930-1934 cohort. These findings point to a substantial rise in the overall influenza burden among the most vulnerable age groups, with implications for vaccine policy, clinical management, and public health planning.

Background: The ongoing Bundibugyo virus disease (BDBV) outbreak in Central Africa highlights the absence of approved vaccines specifically targeting BDBV. Whether licensed Zaire ebolavirus (EBOV) vaccines induce cross-reactive immunity against BDBV remains largely unknown. Methods: We performed an immunogenicity analysis using serum samples from participants enrolled in the PREVAC randomized clinical trial evaluating licensed Ebola vaccine strategies in West Africa. Samples collected at day 28 (D28) and month 3 (M3) following vaccination with rVSV{Delta}G-ZEBOV-GP or Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo were assessed using a multiplex Luminex assay against glycoproteins from multiple filoviruses, including EBOV Kikwit, EBOV Mayinga, BDBV, Sudan virus, Reston virus, and Marburg virus. Results: A total of 179 samples were analysed. Detectable cross-reactive antibody responses against BDBV were observed across vaccine groups, timepoints, and age categories. However, BDBV responses remained substantially lower than homologous EBOV responses. In rVSV recipients, median BDBV responses (net MFI) reached 282 (IQR 164-644) at D28 compared with 1788 (832-3311) against the homologous Kikwit antigen. Similar patterns were observed following rVSV booster vaccination and Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo vaccination. The heterologous Ad26/MVA regimen demonstrated increasing BDBV responses between D28 and M3. Conclusions: Licensed EBOV vaccines induced detectable but quantitatively reduced cross-reactive antibody responses against BDBV. Although no direct assessment of vaccine efficacy against BDBV disease was possible, these findings support the plausibility of partial heterologous immunity following EBOV vaccination. In the absence of approved BDBV-specific vaccines, these data support the urgent evaluation of currently available Ebola vaccines during BDBV outbreaks and reinforce the importance of developing broadly protective pan-filovirus vaccines.

Background: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major global health burden disproportionately affecting older adults and people with comorbidities, with Streptococcus pneumoniae as one of the leading bacterial causes in Europe. The Hungarian Occurrence and Burden of PnEumonia (Hungarian-HOPE) study examined the incidence, hospitalization rates, and mortality of CAP between 2016 and 2020 in Hungary. Methods: The National Health Insurance Fund database was used to identify adult CAP patients (all-cause) based on ICD-10 codes J10-18. Outcomes included CAP incidence, 0-15-day hospitalization, and 0-30-day mortality after hospitalization, stratified by age, sex, and comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], asthma, cardiovascular disease [CVD], and type 1 and 2 diabetes [T1DM, T2DM]). Risk maps visualized relative risk gradients across population strata. Results: During the pre-pandemic period (2016-2019), over 100,000 CAP cases and more than 50,000 hospitalizations were recorded annually. In 2020, recorded cases fell to approximately 98,000, while hospitalizations increased to 66,200. Hospitalization rates increased from 25.1% in 2016 to 29.1% in 2019, then increased to 43.1% in 2020. The 30-day mortality among hospitalized patients rose from 22.7% in 2016 to 23.6% in 2019. Incidence, hospitalization, and mortality all increased with age. Relative to healthy males aged 30-39 years, CAP risk escalated steeply in the [&ge;]80 years cohort (incidence 5-15-fold; hospitalization >3-fold; mortality 11-24-fold) and was further amplified by COPD, CVD, or T2DM, with a lesser effect for T1DM. Conclusions: The results highlight the substantial age- and comorbidity-driven CAP burden in Hungary and support prioritization of preventive strategies including pneumococcal vaccination for older adults and high-risk groups.